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How accurate are expert handwriting comparisons?

In a 2022 study by Hicklin and colleagues, 86 document examiners compared handwriting from writers known to the researchers. Examiners could qualify a conclusion or leave the question unresolved.

Legal document examination / Research and articles

In the baseline analysis, 3,713 responses concerned samples from different writers. In 114 responses the examiner definitively, but incorrectly, attributed both to one writer (3.1%). In the opposite direction, 32 of 2,863 responses on same-writer samples definitively excluded a common writer (1.1%). Each rate has its own denominator.

One person’s writing varies naturally. Samples from several occasions can help show whether a difference falls within that writer’s range. Sometimes the material is insufficient for a conclusion. The study tested human comparisons of handwritten passages. These error rates cannot give the probability that a particular contract signature was forged or measure this online lab’s accuracy.

Professional source · pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

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